INTOXICATE

Which Poisoned Patients Need the ICU?

Background.

  1. Fraction of poisoned patients each year admitted to ICU/Stepdown
  2. Physiology of poisoning means that scoring systems meant to determine general illness like APACHE may not work.
  3. X previously developed INTOXICATE with methods that had results.

Project Roadmap

graph LR
    A[Replicate Study in US] --> B[Refine Predictors] & C[Extend to Childrens]
    B --> D[Prospectively Validate]
    B --> E[Prospectively Validate]

(Brandenburg et al., 2017) Developed INTOXICATE to determine which poisoned patients need admission to the ICU/Stepdown unit. Below is the model. SBPS refers to systolic blood pressure. EMV refers to the Glasgow Coma Scale (eye, motor, verbal).

$$ \textrm{risk} = \begin{bmatrix} -1.75 \\ -0.91398 \\ 0.25399 \\ 0.061925 \\ 0.162626 \\ -0.265 \\ -1.22151 \\ 0.325561 \\ 0.038357 \\ 0.014 \\ -0.02035 \\ -0.164725 \\ 1.527795 \\ 1.423788 \\ 0.983364 \\ 1.289260 \\ \end{bmatrix} \cdot \begin{bmatrix} 1 \\ \textrm{alcohol} \\ \textrm{analgesic}\\ \textrm{antidepressant}\\ \textrm{street drug}\\ \textrm{sedative}\\ \textrm{poison}\\ \textrm{other}\\ \textrm{Age}\\ \textrm{Pulse}\\ \textrm{SBP}\\ \textrm{EMV}\\ \textrm{Respiratory insufficiency}\\ \textrm{Cirrhosis}\\ \textrm{Dysrhythmia}\\ \textrm{Second reason of ICU admission}\\ \end{bmatrix} $$

Encoding of Categorical Variables

Conversion of Numerical Variables into Categories

Intoxicant    Value
Alcohol    1
Analgesic    2
Antidepressant    3
Street Drugs    4
Sedatives    5
CO, As, CN    6
Toxins NOS    7
Polysubstance    8
Age Group    Value
<25    0
25-35    2
35-45    4
45-55    6
55-65    8
$\geq$ 65    10
SBP    Value
$\geq$ 140    -3
130-140    -1
120-130    0
110-120    1
100-110    2
< 100    4


Pulse    Value
$<75$    0
$75-85$    1
$85-95$    2
$95-105$    3
$\geq 105$    4
GCS    Value
$\geq 14$    0
9-14    3
6-9    6
$\leq 6$    9

There is before bort.

And after bort.

References

  1. 1.Brandenburg, R. et al. The need for ICU admission in intoxicated patients: a prediction model. Clinical toxicology 55, 4–11 (2017).

Upcoming Events

NYACEP, (01 Apr 2024)
WCM EM Conference, (15 Apr 2024)
NACCT, (05 May 2024)
HICSS, (15 Jun 2024)