Background.
Project Roadmap
graph LR
A[Replicate Study in US] --> B[Refine Predictors] & C[Extend to Childrens]
B --> D[Prospectively Validate]
B --> E[Prospectively Validate]
(Brandenburg et al., 2017) Developed INTOXICATE to determine which poisoned patients need admission to the ICU/Stepdown unit. Below is the model. SBPS refers to systolic blood pressure. EMV refers to the Glasgow Coma Scale (eye, motor, verbal).
$$ \textrm{risk} = \begin{bmatrix} -1.75 \\ -0.91398 \\ 0.25399 \\ 0.061925 \\ 0.162626 \\ -0.265 \\ -1.22151 \\ 0.325561 \\ 0.038357 \\ 0.014 \\ -0.02035 \\ -0.164725 \\ 1.527795 \\ 1.423788 \\ 0.983364 \\ 1.289260 \\ \end{bmatrix} \cdot \begin{bmatrix} 1 \\ \textrm{alcohol} \\ \textrm{analgesic}\\ \textrm{antidepressant}\\ \textrm{street drug}\\ \textrm{sedative}\\ \textrm{poison}\\ \textrm{other}\\ \textrm{Age}\\ \textrm{Pulse}\\ \textrm{SBP}\\ \textrm{EMV}\\ \textrm{Respiratory insufficiency}\\ \textrm{Cirrhosis}\\ \textrm{Dysrhythmia}\\ \textrm{Second reason of ICU admission}\\ \end{bmatrix} $$
Intoxicant | Value | |
---|---|---|
Alcohol | 1 | |
Analgesic | 2 | |
Antidepressant | 3 | |
Street Drugs | 4 | |
Sedatives | 5 | |
CO, As, CN | 6 | |
Toxins NOS | 7 | |
Polysubstance | 8 |
Age Group | Value | |
---|---|---|
<25 | 0 | |
25-35 | 2 | |
35-45 | 4 | |
45-55 | 6 | |
55-65 | 8 | |
$\geq$ 65 | 10 |
SBP | Value | |
---|---|---|
$\geq$ 140 | -3 | |
130-140 | -1 | |
120-130 | 0 | |
110-120 | 1 | |
100-110 | 2 | |
< 100 | 4 |
Pulse | Value | |
---|---|---|
$<75$ | 0 | |
$75-85$ | 1 | |
$85-95$ | 2 | |
$95-105$ | 3 | |
$\geq 105$ | 4 |
GCS | Value | |
---|---|---|
$\geq 14$ | 0 | |
9-14 | 3 | |
6-9 | 6 | |
$\leq 6$ | 9 |
There is before bort.
And after bort.